Have we ever, in our national history, been so polarized, divided, fragmented? Everywhere the question hangs: Is our civilization collapsing? The turbulence of the late 60s does not compare. That was largely a passing, generational divide, focused mostly on the Vietnam war. The cohort of privileged, pampered, boomer "revolutionaries" quickly moved on to bourgeois careers, comfort, affluence, and security, now flavored with a self-righteous progressivism.. Our Civil War in the 1860s was clear cut, slavery and states' rights, and over in four years. Currently we are engaged in something like the religious wars that lasted hundreds of years in the 16th and 17th centuries. Our conflicts and divides are multiple and interweaved in complex, convoluted ways.
1. The Religious/Moral Divide. This is the primal, foundational conflict that underlies all the other issues. We have here two opposed, incompatible religions. The Cultural-Religious Revolution of the 1960s rejected traditional religion in favor of: rupture of sex from spousal unity/procreativity; deconstruction of the masculine/feminine; reproductive rights as the depersonalization of the unborn for the purpose of backup contraception; a secular "arc" of history, as inexorable triumph of technology over a disparaged past, replacing Salvation History; and the Marxist model of oppressor/oppressed (male/female, white/black, straight/LGBTQ, Israeli/Gazan, etc.) as structurally systemic and omnipresent. And so we have the Democratic Party as (among other things) the institutionalization of Cultural Progressivism and the Republican Party as (among other things) the protector of traditional Christianity.
2. Gender Divide. Survey's indicate that 55% of men and 45% of women voted for Trump in 2024. My own (particular and anecdotal) experience suggests that the divide is even greater because of the intensity elicited but not measured. In my world, most women are repulsed by Trump; many men exhilarated. Clearly this is rooted in masculine/feminine psychology.
The Harris campaign had a single coherent idea (aside from disgust with Trump) about which she would become flamingly and uncharacteristically passionate, indignant, articulate: "reproductive rights." About everything else she was vague, avoidant, indecisive or giggly. Her battle cry was the right of women, against an imagined "patriarchy," to kill her unborn child. Her party has become a raging matriarchy: think the stepmother of Hansel and Gretel! Masculinity is conceived as toxic and violent; or castrated and configured as passive, effete, gentle, inclusive, and powerless. The black male, for example, in the BLM narrative, is imagined as defenseless and victimized by the far stronger white policeman. The core problem of the black community, a deficiency in virile fidelity, honor, discipline, virtue, is intensified by this fiction that breeds futile insecurity and resentment. The entire Biden regime was a demonstration of weakness: Afghanistan, Ukraine, Gaza; open borders and tolerance of crime; indulgent, unrestrained spending which fueled inflation; and a team of intelligent, refined, gentle men entirely lacking in masculine confidence, energy, and dynamism. This party has become the expression of anti-virility and non-paternity as well as raging, shrill feminism.
And so we have young men, across ethnicities and classes, viscerally renouncing the Left in favor of a vibrant, if decadent, masculinity of the Right. Trump himself, along with his coterie of cartoon characters, is flamboyantly, shamelessly, boastfully masculine, in a most immature manner. He is the ninth grade wise guy, bully, disrupter-in-chief: big, strong, intimidating, smart in his pushing of the boundaries, tormenting of the weak, and absolute demand for attention. His entire performance is, however, fascinating and entertaining for the immature male psyche. Even as it is disgusting to the sensitivities of the more mature female. He offers our country a striking virility, entirely devoid of virtue, paternity, dignity, selflessness, and respect.
3. Class (Economic, Educational, Cultural) Divide: Building upon emergent trends, Trump singlehandedly reconfigured the political-class structure of our society. This is a dazzling accomplishment: something akin to Alexander the Great or Napoleon.
Already in the 1970s the DNC has renounced the religious roots of the Catholic working class and become the progressive party of the affluent, educated cosmopolitan and the ethos of liberated sexuality and abortion (backup contraception). In the following 50 years (1970-2020), the prosperous economic peace between capital and labor steadily deteriorated as a widening gulf separated the working poor from the educated, affluent progressives who benefited from the globalist, technological order. Trump, ironically given his own wealth, impeccably channeled the populist rage at this condescending hegemony.
This divide is overwhelmingly rooted in education. DJT won large majorities of those without college education. Biden's compulsive crusading for tuition forgiveness manifests that his loyalty is with the upper, not the working class. Higher education has become, in large part, socialization into the progressive world view. So it is logical that educational credentials bring a bias to progressivism. It also makes sense that women, who outachieve men in schooling, would lean left.
The cultural divide is multifaceted, complex and dense. Along with the obvious religious and educational dimensions, there are others. To a sensibility that is refined, sensitive, feminine, DJT is a vile, crude character. He is "low class." He is without class...shamelessly and defiantly. He is dismissive, personally, of intellectual and religious values. He blatantly, happily free of hypocrisy, exults in wealth, celebrity and power. He is defiant of the Puritanism and moralism of our upper classes: blatantly. This blend of rage, power, and defiance is intoxicating for his base. He is their champion: defying and defeating the upper class with their superiority, power, privilege and contempt.
The economic piece is the strangest! He aspires to help the underdog and yet his actual economic policy is built upon tax breaks for the investment class. He has not up to now delivered real economic relief for the underclass. It is improbable that he will. Democrats, who steadily advocate economic policies favorable to the working and poor, are baffled that so many vote against their own financial interests. Many explain this as ignorance (lack of schooling), racism, xenophobia, homophobia, and misguided piety. They are, in a way, not entirely wrong. My own view is that culture trumps economics. The obsession with money is itself a cultural perversion. More important than money is honor, dignity, respect, autonomy, agency. Underlying the populist revolt is a degree of fear and anger; but also a justified demand for dignity.
4. Diplomatic Divide. Here we contrast a resurging populist nationalism with the internationalism of the upper class. This globalism is complicated: belief in free markets and trade (Republican); confidence in the efficacy of international cooperation and negotiation (Democrat) in agencies like the UN, WHO, and others; residual trust in the military might of the USA. These last two move in different directions: Biden and to a lesser extent Obama contrast with hawks (Haley, Pompeo, etc.) who served the first Trump administration.
Trump, with his MAGA direction, is not really isolationist. He is intensely international, engaging across the globe to advance our national interests. He is devoid of any idealism. For him, diplomacy is an analogue of hardball, self-interested business: he is out to get the most he can, indifferent to anything beyond self-interest. Intuitively (he is extremely intelligent) he sees the global reality that we are no longer in a unipolar or even bipolar world. He looks to protect our interests: indifferent to the plight of others. This is realpolitik as crude national imperialism, narcissism on the global stage. It is realistic in its awareness of a multi-polar world and the limitations of American global power.
Democratic Party is in an identity crisis: baffled that it was defeated by a cartoonish buffoon. Its only explanation is the ignorance and malice of half the electorate. It is a split personality: the expression of Cultural Liberalism as it continues to advocate for the poor and working classes. As such, it has no moral core. The energy is focused obsessively on the availability of abortion. They continue to dominate blue states and may succeed in some national elections. But morally there is no hope here.
Republican Party is far more complicated and interesting. It is a circus: with different agents, energies and interests...many contradictory of each other. First, the primal populist rage (Steve Bannon) fueled more by emotion than policy clarity other than closed borders, nationalism and anti-wokism. Second there is the old establishment, quiet and dormant, but still in the picture. Third, there are the emergent tech-oligarchs (Musk). They are, in my view, a misfit in the party: philosophically incompatible, entirely opportunistic, and ultimately dangerous in their techno-aspirations and pride. Lastly, there are the religious/moral conservatives who retain a large seat at the Trump table. Particularly interesting in this last group is the trend, largely Catholic, sometimes called National Conservatism, to broaden traditional political wisdom beyond family/person to the broader social good, including advocacy for the poor, unions, a reasonably vigorous government. Vance and Rubio show these tendencies. I will be watching them in the coming years.